A Single Early Introduction Governed Viral Diversity in the Second Wave of SARS-CoV-2 Epidemic in Hungary

Retrospective evaluation of past waves of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic is key for designing optimal interventions against future waves and novel pandemics. Here we report on analysing genome sequences of SARS-CoV-2 from the first two waves of the epidemic in 2020 in Hungary, mirroring a suppression and a...

Teljes leírás

Elmentve itt :
Bibliográfiai részletek
Szerzők: Ari Eszter
Vásárhelyi Bálint Márk
Kemenesi Gábor
Tóth Gábor Endre
Zana Brigitta
Somogyi Balázs Antal
Lanszki Zsófia
Röst Gergely
Jakab Ferenc
Papp Balázs
Kintses Bálint
Dokumentumtípus: Cikk
Megjelent: 2022
Sorozat:VIRUS EVOLUTION 8 No. 2
Tárgyszavak:
doi:10.1093/ve/veac069

mtmt:33040340
Online Access:http://publicatio.bibl.u-szeged.hu/25264
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520 3 |a Retrospective evaluation of past waves of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic is key for designing optimal interventions against future waves and novel pandemics. Here we report on analysing genome sequences of SARS-CoV-2 from the first two waves of the epidemic in 2020 in Hungary, mirroring a suppression and a mitigation strategy, respectively. Our analysis reveals that the two waves markedly differed in viral diversity and transmission patterns. Specifically, unlike in several European areas or in the USA, we have found no evidence for early introduction and cryptic transmission of the virus in the first wave of the pandemic in Hungary. Despite the introduction of multiple viral lineages, extensive community spread was prevented by a timely national lockdown in March 2020. In sharp contrast, the majority of the cases in the much larger second wave can be linked to a single transmission lineage of the pan-European B.1.160 variant. This lineage was introduced unexpectedly early, followed by a two-month-long cryptic transmission before a soar of detected cases in September 2020. Epidemic analysis has revealed that the dominance of this lineage in the second wave was not associated with an intrinsic transmission advantage. This finding is further supported by the rapid replacement of B.1.160 by the alpha variant (B.1.1.7) that launched the third wave of the epidemic in February 2021. Overall, these results illustrate how the founder effect in combination with cryptic transmission, instead of repeated international introductions or higher transmissibility, can govern viral diversity. 
650 4 |a Számítás- és információtudomány 
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700 0 1 |a Vásárhelyi Bálint Márk  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Kemenesi Gábor  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Tóth Gábor Endre  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Zana Brigitta  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Somogyi Balázs Antal  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Lanszki Zsófia  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Röst Gergely  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Jakab Ferenc  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Papp Balázs  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Kintses Bálint  |e aut 
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